Sam Brown: As the Nevada Senate race heats up, the Republican super PAC Senate Leadership Fund (SLF) has announced a substantial $6.2 million investment to support GOP candidate Sam Brown. The move marks SLF’s first foray into Nevada this election cycle, with the PAC backing Brown in a high-stakes effort to unseat incumbent Democrat Senator Jacky Rosen. This late injection of funds aims to boost Brown’s visibility and bolster his position amid tightening polls and shifting voter demographics, which Republicans believe may tip the balance.
With less than two weeks until Election Day, SLF’s commitment underscores growing confidence within GOP ranks. In recent polling, Senator Rosen’s lead has narrowed to single digits, and early voting data is showing promising results for Republicans. Notably, this is the first time since 2008 that GOP pre-election turnout in Nevada has taken the lead, signaling a potential shift in favor of Brown and other Republican candidates. SLF President Steven Law voiced optimism about the race, noting that “President Trump is doing very well in Nevada, and we think Sam Brown can too.”
Nevada’s demographics, especially a rightward shift among Latino voters, have bolstered Republican hopes for the race. The SLF’s late entry contrasts with its spending in other battlegrounds such as Ohio and Montana, which have seen millions invested since early in the cycle. Yet, Nevada’s status as a tight battleground state, where President Biden’s 2020 margin was a mere 2 points, has made it a ripe target for last-minute campaign blitzes from both parties.
Despite the GOP’s renewed interest, Senator Rosen has maintained a significant fundraising edge. Since Labor Day, Democrats have outspent Republicans in Nevada by nearly $11 million, totaling $38.3 million in combined expenditures. This spending surge has allowed Rosen’s campaign to dominate the airwaves, particularly in the spring and early summer, a factor that analysts believe contributed to her polling advantage. However, as the race heads into its final days, Brown’s campaign, with help from SLF and the National Republican Senatorial Committee, is ramping up its efforts.
In addition to SLF’s support, National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman Steve Daines is slated to campaign in Nevada alongside Brown, underscoring the GOP’s commitment to the state as polls continue to tighten. Democrats, meanwhile, aren’t backing down; the Senate Majority PAC (SMP), aligned with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, recently committed $8.3 million in last-minute ads, signaling that they too anticipate a competitive race.
Nevada’s historical reputation for razor-thin margins, like Senator Catherine Cortez Masto’s narrow 2022 win by less than 8,000 votes, underscores the state’s battleground status. As both parties make their final push, Nevada’s voters are poised to play a decisive role in determining the Senate’s balance of power come November.