Madison Keys vs. Sofia Kenin— In a marquee third-round matchup at the 2025 French Open, seventh seed Madison Keys will face 31st seed Sofia Kenin in an all-American duel packed with power, history, and high stakes. The two former Grand Slam champions are set to clash on Saturday, May 31, at Roland Garros, each aiming to advance to the second week of the tournament.
Both players arrive in solid form after straight-set victories in the second round. Keys dominated Katie Boulter 6-1, 6-3, while Kenin edged past Victoria Azarenka 7-6(5), 6-4 in a more closely contested battle. With their careers marked by deep runs at majors — Kenin was a French Open finalist in 2020 and Keys a semifinalist in 2018 — fans can expect a gritty, baseline-heavy contest on the slow Parisian clay.
Head-to-Head Record: Keys Leads 3-1
Madison Keys leads the career head-to-head 3-1, including wins at the 2019 US Open, 2019 Cincinnati semifinal, and their most recent clash at the 2022 Australian Open. However, Kenin’s lone win came on clay — in Rome 2019 — a key factor as they meet again on the dirt.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Australian Open | R1 | Madison Keys | 7–6, 7–5 |
| 2019 | US Open | R3 | Madison Keys | 6–3, 7–5 |
| 2019 | Cincinnati | SF | Madison Keys | 7–5, 6–4 |
| 2019 | Rome | R2 | Sofia Kenin | 2–6, 6–3, 6–4 |
Form & Stats: Keys Powerful, Kenin Gritty
Keys has enjoyed a resurgence in 2025, winning her first Grand Slam at the Australian Open and reaching the Indian Wells semifinals. Her 24-6 season record includes 139 aces and a 45.1% return points win rate. However, she has cooled off since Madrid, making this a crucial test of consistency.
Kenin, meanwhile, enters with a 19-12 record and an impressive 47.1% break point conversion rate. She has won nine of her 13 matches on clay this year and is coming off a strong performance in Charleston. Despite some recent setbacks — including a double bagel loss to Coco Gauff in Miami — Kenin has shown she’s still dangerous.
Match Prediction & Betting Odds
According to BetMGM, Madison Keys is the clear favorite at 7/20, while Kenin sits at 43/20. While the head-to-head favors Keys, Kenin has proven she can be a threat on clay — and pundits believe she could grab at least a set.
Prediction: Madison Keys in straight sets — but don’t be surprised if Kenin pushes it to a decider if she finds her rhythm early.
Why This Match Matters
This high-stakes battle could shape the American presence in the second week of the French Open. Keys is aiming for her second Grand Slam title of the year, while Kenin is trying to recapture the magic of her 2020 run in Paris. Expect intensity, heavy hitting, and a potential classic on Court Philippe-Chatrier.